Precision exercise medicine: understanding exercise response variability
Ross R, Goodpaster BH, Koch LG, Sarzynski MA, Kohrt WM, Johannsen NM, et al. · 2019
grade Creviewindependentfailednumbers spot-checked
Sample
consensus statement; no new data
Population
N/A — synthesis of human twin/family studies plus rodent selection experiments.
Design
BJSM 53(18):1141-1153. Consensus statement from a 2017 Pennington Biomedical symposium. Graded C to match this database's treatment of expert consensus statements (cf. Webborn 2015). Included deliberately as the strongest mainstream statement AGAINST this topic's scepticism about trainability — we do not get to cite only the papers that agree with us.
Key findings
The expert consensus disagrees with this database's reading. It concludes there is "strong evidence from both animal and human studies that exercise training doses lead to variable responses" and that "a genetic component contributes to exercise training response variability", citing HERITAGE heritability of roughly 50% of CRF response variance (30-60% depending on adjustment) and rodent selective-breeding lines that diverge fourfold. TWO THINGS BLUNT IT. First, its human heritability figure is the SAME HERITAGE family-design upper bound this database already downgrades — it is not independent confirmation. Second, the statement itself concedes that "figures depicting the range of the observed individual responses will tend to inflate the true interindividual response variability", and its own design recommendations are exactly the ones that produce null results when applied: it recommends "study designs that include a randomly assigned control group (or condition) and have multiple assessments of CRF before and after", because "designs without a control group cannot isolate changes due to treatment" and "designs without multiple assessments before and after cannot isolate random error from interindividual response variability." It also notes that no study had then examined heritability of CRF response to maximal or near-maximal training doses. It makes NO recommendation for clinical genetic testing.
Genetic confound
The paper's pro-genetic claim rests on the HERITAGE two-generation family design (confounds genes with shared household) and on rodent selection lines (which establish that response CAN be selected on, not that human individual differences are cleanly heritable).
Replication notes
The design standard it sets was met by Renwick 2024 (control-arm meta) and Bonafiglia 2022 (IPD meta), both of which failed to find strong evidence for true VO2max response heterogeneity.
Effects
| Outcome | Metric | Value | Measure | Timing | Vs | Horizon | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heritability of CRF training response (as cited from HERITAGE) | h2 of response | ~50% (30-60% depending on adjustment) — family design, upper bound | standardized | post-20-wk training | none | not-applicable | health |
| Rodent selective breeding for training response, 15 generations | divergence | low-response line -65 m, high-response line +223 m in run distance | standardized | after selection | none | not-applicable | health |
| Design required to establish true individual response | consensus recommendation | randomized control group PLUS multiple pre- and post-tests; single pre-post inflates variability | standardized | N/A | unclear | not-applicable | unclear |
Cited by
- Talent and trainability — what is heritable, and what that does not licensestrong supportconf: highgc: low