The Evidence on Teaching

Impacts of Early Childhood Education on Medium- and Long-Term Educational Outcomes

McCoy, D. C., Yoshikawa, H., Ziol-Guest, K. M., Duncan, G. J., Schindler, H. S., Magnuson, K., et al. · 2017

grade Cmeta-analysisindependentreplicated
Sample
22 studies, 1960-2016
Population
High-quality early-childhood education studies, restricted to attainment-type outcomes measured at school age or later.
Design
Deliberately excludes cognitive test scores in favour of institutional/attainment outcomes — the outcome class that survives fadeout.
Key findings
The best evidence for the 'attainment persists even when test scores don't' pattern: meaningful reductions in special-education placement and grade retention and higher graduation, in the same literature where test-score effects vanish. Grade C because the pool mixes designs — but the pattern is corroborated by the Boston lottery.
Genetic confound
Mixed experimental and quasi-experimental base; the attainment outcomes are administrative rather than self-reported, which helps.
Replication notes
These attainment effects appear even in studies where cognitive-test impacts had faded to null — the empirical basis for treating skills and attainment as separate outcome classes.
DOI / URL
10.3102/0013189X17737739

Effects

OutcomeMetricValueMeasureTimingVsHorizonClass
Special education placementES0.33 reductionmixedgrade-6+business-as-usualover-2yrattainment
Grade retentionES0.26 reductionmixedgrade-6+business-as-usualover-2yrattainment
High school graduationES0.24 increasemixedadultbusiness-as-usualadulthoodattainment

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