Impacts of Early Childhood Education on Medium- and Long-Term Educational Outcomes
McCoy, D. C., Yoshikawa, H., Ziol-Guest, K. M., Duncan, G. J., Schindler, H. S., Magnuson, K., et al. · 2017
grade Cmeta-analysisindependentreplicated
Sample
22 studies, 1960-2016
Population
High-quality early-childhood education studies, restricted to attainment-type outcomes measured at school age or later.
Design
Deliberately excludes cognitive test scores in favour of institutional/attainment outcomes — the outcome class that survives fadeout.
Key findings
The best evidence for the 'attainment persists even when test scores don't' pattern: meaningful reductions in special-education placement and grade retention and higher graduation, in the same literature where test-score effects vanish. Grade C because the pool mixes designs — but the pattern is corroborated by the Boston lottery.
Genetic confound
Mixed experimental and quasi-experimental base; the attainment outcomes are administrative rather than self-reported, which helps.
Replication notes
These attainment effects appear even in studies where cognitive-test impacts had faded to null — the empirical basis for treating skills and attainment as separate outcome classes.
DOI / URL
10.3102/0013189X17737739
Effects
| Outcome | Metric | Value | Measure | Timing | Vs | Horizon | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special education placement | ES | 0.33 reduction | mixed | grade-6+ | business-as-usual | over-2yr | attainment |
| Grade retention | ES | 0.26 reduction | mixed | grade-6+ | business-as-usual | over-2yr | attainment |
| High school graduation | ES | 0.24 increase | mixed | adult | business-as-usual | adulthood | attainment |
Cited by
- Fadeout — why early gains disappear, and what actually persistsstrong supportconf: highgc: low
- Preschool at scale — Head Start, state pre-K, and what universal provision deliversmixedconf: highgc: low