The Evidence on Teaching

A Blueprint for Scaling Tutoring and Mentoring Across Public Schools (cost model)

Kraft, M. A., & Falken, G. T. · 2021

grade Dreviewindependentfailed
Sample
Policy cost model
Population
US K-12 (projection).
Design
Bottom-up cost architecture for scaled tutoring via tiered tutor pipelines.
Key findings
The reference cost architecture: per-pupil cost is driven almost entirely by tutor type and ratio. Cites the NCLB SES failure ($2B/yr vendor tutoring: low take-up, ~0.06 effects) as the cautionary precedent.
Genetic confound
N/A.
Replication notes
Its scale-effect optimism is partly corrected by the authors' own 2024 meta (50-70% attenuation at the scales envisioned).
DOI / URL
10.1177/23328584211042858

Effects

OutcomeMetricValueMeasureTimingVsHorizonClass
Modeled cost per pupil per yearUSD$662 elementary / $927 middle / $1,486 high school (volunteer/stipend pipelines); $2,500-3,800 for paid professional 2:1 modelsunknownprojectionnonenot-applicabledomain-skill
National cost by targetingUSD$4.8B (bottom-quartile K-8) to $50.1B (universal K-12)unknownprojectionnonenot-applicabledomain-skill

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