The Evidence on Teaching

Prenatal and Infancy Nurse Home Visiting and 18-Year Outcomes of a Randomized Trial

Kitzman, H., Olds, D. L., Knudtson, M. D., Cole, R., Anson, E., et al. · 2019

grade Brctdeveloper-ledunreplicatednumbers spot-checked
Sample
742 randomized; 629 youth assessed at age 18
Population
Low-income primarily African-American mothers and children, Memphis.
Design
Long-running RCT of the Nurse-Family Partnership, the most widely disseminated home-visiting program, with pre-specified primary outcomes at age 18.
Key findings
The flagship home-visiting program is NULL at age 18 on every pre-specified full-sample outcome, including nonverbal intelligence. Positive results exist only in a maternal-resources subgroup. Home visiting is not a demonstrated lever on children's cognitive outcomes.
Counterfactual
NOT nothing — controls received free transportation for prenatal care plus child development screening and referral.
Genetic confound
RCT.
Replication notes
The pattern — null on pre-specified full-sample outcomes, positive in a subgroup — is exactly what multiplicity correction is designed to catch.
Cost
Intensive nurse home visiting from pregnancy through age 2 — a high-cost program.
DOI / URL
10.1542/peds.2018-3876

Effects

OutcomeMetricValueMeasureTimingVsHorizonClass
Nonverbal intelligence, full samplepre-specified primary outcomeNULLstandardizedadultactive-alternativeadulthoodg
Receptive language and math achievement, full samplepre-specified primary outcomesNULLstandardizedadultactive-alternativeadulthooddomain-skill
Behavioural health (internalising, substance use, STI)pre-specified primary outcomesNULLmixedadultactive-alternativeadulthoodbehaviour
Math achievement, low-psychological-resources SUBGROUPSD+0.38 (0.14-0.61), p=.002 — subgroup onlystandardizedadultactive-alternativeadulthooddomain-skill

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