Cyber versus Brick and Mortar: Achievement, Attainment, and Postsecondary Outcomes in Pennsylvania Charter High Schools
Cordes SA · 2024
grade Bquasi-experimentindependentreplicated
Sample
Pennsylvania statewide administrative records on charter high-school entrants
Population
Pennsylvania students entering brick-and-mortar or cyber charter high schools
Design
Statewide administrative data covering attendance, achievement, graduation and postsecondary outcomes, comparing brick-and-mortar with cyber charters. Cyber enrolment is chosen, not assigned, and the author frames the cyber estimates as associations; the value here is that it is the largest study of a fully home-delivered secondary education with hard attainment outcomes.
Key findings
Brick-and-mortar charters show no or positive effects across outcomes, concentrated among urban, Black and economically disadvantaged students. Cyber charters are "almost universally worse", with little heterogeneity: students enrolling in a cyber charter at the start of ninth grade are 9.5 percentage points less likely to graduate on time, 16.8 pp less likely to enrol in college, and 15.2 pp less likely to persist beyond one semester of postsecondary study.
Genetic confound
Medium. Selection into cyber charters is not random and plausibly captures already-struggling students, which would inflate the negative estimate; the contrast with brick-and-mortar charters drawn from an overlapping choice population partially bounds this, and the effect sizes are far larger than plausible selection on observables.
Replication notes
The direction replicates Fitzpatrick et al. 2020's within-student Indiana finding and the CREDO online-charter results; three independent state datasets, three methodologies, same sign and same rough magnitude class.
DOI / URL
Effects
| Outcome | Metric | Value | Measure | Timing | Vs | Horizon | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| On-time high-school graduation, cyber charter entrants | percentage points | -9.5 pp | standardized | four years after ninth-grade entry | active-alternative | over-2yr | attainment |
| College enrolment | percentage points | -16.8 pp | standardized | after high school | active-alternative | over-2yr | attainment |
| Postsecondary persistence beyond one semester | percentage points | -15.2 pp | standardized | after high school | active-alternative | over-2yr | attainment |
| Brick-and-mortar charter comparison arm | direction | no or positive effects across outcomes; effects concentrated in urban districts and among Black and economically disadvantaged students | standardized | same window | active-alternative | over-2yr | attainment |
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