Summing Up Hours of Any Type of Practice Versus Identifying Optimal Practice Activities: Commentary on Macnamara, Moreau & Hambrick — and Macnamara et al.'s Reply
Ericsson, K. A. (commentary); Macnamara, B. N., Hambrick, D. Z., & Moreau, D. (reply) · 2016
grade Dcritiqueindependentmixed
Population
Methodological exchange over the 63 sports effect sizes (N=2,765)
Design
Exchange in Perspectives on Psychological Science 11(3). Ericsson's commentary (pp. 351-354) presents NO new data: it argues the sports meta summed virtually any sport-specific activity (group training, watching games on TV, play, competition) rather than narrow teacher-designed practice with immediate feedback. The reply (pp. 355-358) re-runs the meta on the subsets Ericsson demanded.
Key findings
The definitional defence does not survive its own test: every restriction Ericsson demanded leaves the estimate between 17% and 22% — still a small minority of variance. Macnamara et al. also document that Ericsson repeatedly cited the very studies (Helsen 1998; Hodges & Starkes 1996) he now says should be excluded, and called amateur bowlers 'experts' while rejecting amateur-containing samples elsewhere. Their charge is that the DP construct is applied inconsistently and is therefore unfalsifiable. Ericsson & Charness (1994) had set the bar for 'expert' at merely 2 SD above the population mean.
Genetic confound
Ericsson dismissed the Mosing (2014) and Hambrick & Tucker-Drob (2014) twin evidence as not generalizable to 'expert musicians'; the reply shows this is inconsistent with his own usage of 'expert'. Rejected on definitional, not empirical, grounds.
Replication notes
Escalated: Ericsson & Harwell (2019, Front Psychol 10:2396), Macnamara & Hambrick (2020, Psychological Research), Hambrick et al. (2020, Front Psychol 11:1134), Ericsson's posthumous 2020 reply. No decisive test exists.
DOI / URL
10.1177/1745691616635600 (commentary); 10.1177/1745691616635614 (reply)
Effects
| Outcome | Metric | Value | Measure | Timing | Vs | Horizon | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reply: objective performance measures only | % variance explained | 20% (10 studies, 15 effect sizes) vs 18% overall — Ericsson's objection does not raise the estimate materially | standardized | attained expertise; field | none | not-applicable | domain-skill |
| Reply: individual (non-group) practice only | % variance explained | 22% (10 studies, 14 effect sizes) vs 18% overall | mixed | attained expertise; field | none | not-applicable | domain-skill |
| Reply: excluding composites containing play/competition | % variance explained | 18% → 17% (26 studies, 53 effect sizes). Ericsson claimed 9 of 52 effect sizes were such composites; it was 10 of 63, and removing them LOWERED the estimate | mixed | attained expertise; field | none | not-applicable | domain-skill |
Cited by
- Deliberate practice and the 10,000-hour rulemixedconf: highgc: medium